Parameter | Model A | Model B | Model C | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
(Unadjusted) | (Adjusted for patient factors) | (Adjusted for patient/provider factors) | |||||||
Estimatea | P value | 95Â % CI | Estimatea | P value | 95Â % CI | Estimatea | P value | 95Â % CI | |
Intercept | 61.4 | <0.0001 | 56.7 to 66.1 | 39.2 | <0.0001 | 32.6 to 45.9 | 44.97 | <0.0001 | 34.8 to 55.1 |
Time | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Year 1 | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - |
 Year 2 | 1.5 | <0.0001 | 0.8 to 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.02 | 0.2 to 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.019 | 0.2 to 1.7 |
 Year 3 | 4.2 | <0.0001 | 3.2 to 5.3 | 3.0 | <0.0001 | 1.9 to 4.0 | 3.0 | <0.0001 | 1.9 to 4.0 |
 Year 4 | 6.3 | <0.0001 | 4.6 to 7.9 | 4.4 | <0.0001 | 2.8 to 6.0 | 4.4 | <0.0001 | 2.8 to 6.0 |
 Year 5 | 7.3 | <0.0001 | 5.1 to 9.5 | 4.9 | <0.0001 | 0.027 to 0.071 | 4.9 | <0.0001 | 2.7 to 7.1 |
Intervention phase | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Baseline | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - |
 Intensive | −2.1 | <0.0001 | −3.2 to −1.1 | −1.9 | 0.0003 | −2.9 to −0.9 | −1.9 | 0.0003 | −2.9 to −0.9 |
 Sustainability | −4.7 | <0.0001 | −6.2 to −3.2 | −4.2 | <0.0001 | −5.7 to −2.6 | −4.2 | <0.0001 | −5.7 to −2.6 |
Region | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Region 1 | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - | 1.0 | 0.789 | −6.6 to 8.7 |
 Region 2 | 1.1 | 0.756 | −5.9 to 8.1 | 1.4 | 0.695 | −5.5 to 8.3 | 4.1 | 0.25 | −2.9 to 11.0 |
 Region 3 | 3.8 | 0.205 | −2.1 to 9.7 | 3.5 | 0.24 | −2.3 to 9.3 | 2.7 | 0.531 | −5.7 to 11.0 |
 Region 4 | 2.4 | 0.535 | −5.3 to 10.2 | 2.3 | 0.545 | −5.3 to 9.9 | 0.2 | 0.956 | −6.7 to 7.1 |
 Region 5 | 2.4 | 0.441 | −3.6 to 8.3 | 0.8 | 0.780 | −5.1 to 6.8 | 3.7 | 0.293 | −3.2 to 10.6 |
 Region 6 | 4.5 | 0.157 | −1.7 to 10.7 | 3.7 | 0.231 | −2.4 to 9.9 | 5.4 | 0.184 | −2.6 13.4 |
 Region 7 | 5.7 | 0.121 | −1.5 to 13.0 | 5.7 | 0.116 | −1.4 to 12.9 | Ref | - | - |
 Region 8 | −1.3 | 0.745 | −9.0 to 6.4 | −1.0 | 0.798 | −8.6 to 6.6 | 4.8 | 0.189 | −2.4 to 12.1 |
 Region 9 | 2.3 | 0.454 | −3.7 to 8.3 | 2.2 | 0.476 | −3.9 to 8.1 | 2.1 | 0.576 | −5.1 to 9.2 |
Patient level | Â | ||||||||
 Age |  |  |  | 0.03 | 0.168 | −0.01 to 0.06 | 0.03 | 0.14 | −0.009 to 0.07 |
 Sex |  |  |  | 0.09 | 0.825 | −0.7 to 0.9 | 0.07 | 0.872 | −0.8 to 0.9 |
 Income |  |  |  | 0.39 | 0.004 | 0.1 to 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.0035 | 0.13 to 0.67 |
 # of cardiovascxular-related diseasesb |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
  0 (risk factors Only) |  |  |  | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - |
  1 |  |  |  | 4.8 | <0.0001 | 3.9 to 5.8 | 4.8 | <0.0001 | 3.9 to 5.8 |
  2 |  |  |  | 6.9 | <0.0001 | 5.7 to 8.0 | 6.9 | <0.0001 | 5.7 to 8.0 |
  3 |  |  |  | 6.6 | <0.0001 | 5.1 to 8.1 | 6.6 | <0.0001 | 5.1 to 8.2 |
  4 |  |  |  | 7.4 | <0.0001 | 4.9 to 9.9 | 7.4 | <0.0001 | 4.9 to 9.9 |
  5 |  |  |  | 11.0 | 0.001 | 4.3 to 17.6 | 11.0 | 0.0012 | 4.4 to 17.6 |
 # of risk factors for cardiovascular diseasec |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
  0 |  |  |  | Ref | - | - | Ref | - | - |
  1 |  |  |  | 6.5 | 0.0009 | 2.6 to 10.3 | 6.5 | 0.0009 | 2.6 to 10.3 |
  2 |  |  |  | 12.7 | <0.0001 | 9.0 to 16.4 | 12.7 | <0.0001 | 8.9 to 16.4 |
  3 |  |  |  | 17.1 | <0.0001 | 13.4 to 20.9 | 17.1 | <0.0001 | 13.4 to 20.9 |
  4 |  |  |  | 4.7 | 0.017 | 0.8 to 8.5 | 4.6 | 0.019 | 0.8 to 8.5 |
 Rural |  |  |  | 0.0099 | 0.103 | −0.2 to 2.2 | 0. 9 | 0.141 | −0. 3 to 2.1 |
Provider level | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â | Â |
 Payment model |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |
  FFS |  |  |  |  |  |  | Ref | - | - |
  Capitation |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1.4 | 0.437 | −2.1 to 4.9 |
  Salary |  |  |  |  |  |  | 9.0 | 0.710 | −3.7 to 5.5 |
 Female physician |  |  |  |  |  |  | 1.7 | 0.320 | −1.6 to 5.0 |
 Years since graduation (as of 2010) |  |  |  |  |  |  | −0.27 | 0.0015 | −0.4 to −0.1 |